Rabu, 28 April 2010

[Y444.Ebook] PDF Download Serving Secretly - An Intelligence Chief on Record: Rhodesia into Zimbabwe, 1964-81, by Ken Flower

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Serving Secretly - An Intelligence Chief on Record: Rhodesia into Zimbabwe, 1964-81, by Ken Flower

The author served as head of Rhodesia's Central Intelligence Organisation (CIO) from 1963 through Zimbabwe independence.

  • Sales Rank: #1671393 in Books
  • Published on: 1987-09-24
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 352 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
It is worth reading this book in conjunction with Ian Smith's autobiography "Bitter Harvest" to better appreciate the two very d
By Jim Clark
As a few other readers have said, this is a slightly obscure and nowadays hard to get book, however anyone with a serious interest in the detailed history of Rhodesia and its transition to Zimbabwe should get a copy and read this book.
It is worth reading this book in conjunction with Ian Smith's autobiography "Bitter Harvest" to better appreciate the two very different viewpoints of their author's descriptions of the same set of events. Particularly so as these two men probably knew more about, and were more influential in, the happenings of that time than anyone else.

Apart from the political and philosophical viewpoints, Ken Flower's book in particular reveals to some extent the real movers and shakers behind the scenes, those faceless "officials" in all Governments who make assessments, influence politicians and do deals behind the scenes and out of the headlines. It also alludes to the real reasons behind many of the happenings in Rhodesia and Southern Africa generally, which were much more to do with the commercial interests of governments and multinational companies than they were about democracy or human rights. Political expediency, appeasement and short-term personal gain are revealed as prime motivators. No doubt this applied to many other conflicts going back into history and still does apply today.

Another book to read in conjunction with this one is "See You in November" by Peter Stiff, the story of Alan "Taffy" Brice, one of CIO's key undercover agents in Zambia. Many of the questions that appear unanswered in that book make sense when reading Ken Flower's book, as he obviously instigated and directed many of the James Bond style events that are related by "Taffy".

It is clear from Flower's book that he was a significant political force in Rhodesia in his own right, although he was un-elected and largely unknown to most people at the time or since. However, he clearly had his own very strong views and political agenda and used his extraordinary position, influence and his many contacts to further those whenever possible. Especially during the closing stages of the Rhodesian war and the transition to Zimbabwe, from his own account he could well be said to have been the main driving force directing events from behind the scenes.

Suspected by many of being a "double agent" whose first loyalty was to the British, it seems very likely that either he or his organisation was instrumental in compromising many Rhodesian security force external operations, and specifically providing tip-offs about assassination attempts on both Nkomo and Mugabe. Read his words and form your own opinions on this.

On the down-side it is a bit of a text-book style of read, despite being filled with momentous and life-changing events. A little hard to get a direct feel for Ken Flower the man himself. Rather like Ian Smith's books, much specific detail is left unsaid, or talked about in very general terms, perhaps to protect others. There are also one or two significant factual errors which I picked up, such as the account of the loss of Rhodesian forces during Operation Uric. Compare his account to that in "The Search for Puma 164". That tends to make one question the accuracy of some other facts he presents and wonder whether he was as well informed about military affairs as he thought he was.

Altogether a fascinating read for those who want to fill in some of the gaps in many of the other accounts of those times.

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Introduction to Parallel Computing (2nd Edition), by Ananth Grama, George Karypis, Vipin Kumar, Anshul Gupta

Introducation to Parallel Computing is a complete end-to-end source of information on almost all aspects of parallel computing from introduction to architectures to programming paradigms to algorithms to programming standards. It is the only book to have complete coverage of traditional Computer Science algorithms (sorting, graph and matrix algorithms), scientific�computing algorithms (FFT, sparse matrix computations, N-body methods),�and data intensive algorithms (search, dynamic programming, data-mining).

  • Sales Rank: #141888 in Books
  • Published on: 2003-01-26
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.30" h x 1.70" w x 6.30" l, 2.28 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 656 pages

From the Back Cover

Introduction to Parallel Computing, Second Edition

Ananth Grama

Anshul Gupta

George Karypis

Vipin Kumar

Increasingly, parallel processing is being seen as the only cost-effective method for the fast solution of computationally large and data-intensive problems. The emergence of inexpensive parallel computers such as commodity desktop multiprocessors and clusters of workstations or PCs has made such parallel methods generally applicable, as have software standards for portable parallel programming. This sets the stage for substantial growth in parallel software.

Data-intensive applications such as transaction processing and information retrieval, data mining and analysis and multimedia services have provided a new challenge for the modern generation of parallel platforms. Emerging areas such as computational biology and nanotechnology have implications for algorithms and systems development, while changes in architectures, programming models and applications have implications for how parallel platforms are made available to users in the form of grid-based services.

This book takes into account these new developments as well as covering the more traditional problems addressed by parallel computers. Where possible it employs an architecture-independent view of the underlying platforms and designs algorithms for an abstract model. Message Passing Interface (MPI), POSIX threads and OpenMP have been selected as programming models and the evolving application mix of parallel computing is reflected in various examples throughout the book.

* Provides a complete end-to-end source on almost every aspect of parallel computing (architectures, programming paradigms, algorithms and standards).

* Covers both traditional computer science algorithms (sorting, searching, graph, and dynamic programming algorithms) as well as scientific computing algorithms (matrix computations, FFT).

* Covers MPI, Pthreads and OpenMP, the three most widely used standards for writing portable parallel programs.

* The modular nature of the text makes it suitable for a wide variety of undergraduate and graduate level courses including parallel computing, parallel programming, design and analysis of parallel algorithms and high performance computing.

Ananth Grama is Associate Professor of Computer Sciences at Purdue University, working on various aspects of parallel and distributed systems and applications.

Anshul Gupta is a member of the research staff at the IBM T. J. Watson Research Center. His research areas are parallel algorithms and scientific computing.

George Karypis is Assistant Professor in the Department of Computer Science and Engineering at the University of Minnesota, working on parallel algorithm design, graph partitioning, data mining, and bioinformatics.

Vipin Kumar is Professor in the Department of Computer Science and Engineering and the Director of the Army High Performance Computing Research Center at the University of Minnesota. His research interests are in the areas of high performance computing, parallel algorithms for scientific computing problems and data mining.



Most helpful customer reviews

30 of 33 people found the following review helpful.
Better read Journals than this book
By Kindle Customer
I bought the book a few months ago as textbook for my semester class in high performance computing. After reading the first 3 chapters I realized that this book is a waste. The examples are only solved partially, a lot of jargons (they should have put the terminology in separate table, maybe).

I was hoping, by reading the book I'd learn something essential and got the basic philosophy of high-performance computing/parallel processing. Instead, I got more confused than before reading it! (I used to be real-time software programmer, so the field is not totally new to me). The authors tried to put everything in this small 633-pages book.

Even my professor said it is useless to read the book and referred us to other research papers [Robertazzi's papers], and yes, these IEEE/ACM papers are much clearly understood! I also found that some websites much better explaining the concept. Another book is also I guess better: "Fundamentals of Parallel Processing" by Harry F. Jordan and Gita Alaghband.

Don't waste your money on this book.

12 of 12 people found the following review helpful.
Too many mistakes.
By Erik R. Knowles
I agree with the other reviewers who have said that this book is sloppy. There are just far too many mistakes for a 2nd edition book; very discouraging in an Addison-Wesley print.

The content is OK, and fairly thorough, but as another reviewer noted, there's considerable handwaving going on in some of the explanations.

Bottom line: a cleaned-up 3rd edition could be a very good textbook. Too bad I'm stuck with the 2nd edition :(

19 of 22 people found the following review helpful.
A sloppily written book
By A Customer
The content should be accessible to any graduate student but the sloppy writing style has made it unnecessarily difficult to read. Out of the many poorly written places, here is an example. In section 6.3.5 on page 248, it wrote, "Recall from section 9.3.1..." But I am only in chapter 6, how can I recall something from chapter 9. I then checked chapter 9 and found out that the forward reference was not a typo.
"Foundations of Multithreaded, Parallel, and Distributed Programming" by Gregory Andrews is a much better written book. Unfortunately, Gregory's book does not cover the same content.

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Senin, 26 April 2010

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  • Sales Rank: #9996630 in Books
  • Original language: Italian
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.83" h x 1.38" w x 4.96" l,
  • Binding: Paperback

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  • Sales Rank: #3267457 in Books
  • Published on: 1900
  • Binding: Paperback

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The Complete Guide to Making Mead: The Ingredients, Equipment, Processes, and Recipes for Crafting Honey Wine PDF

Sabtu, 17 April 2010

[E553.Ebook] Fee Download Power of Communication,The: Skills to Build Trust, Inspire Loyalty, and Lead Effectively, by Helio Fred Garcia

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Power of Communication,The: Skills to Build Trust, Inspire Loyalty, and Lead Effectively, by Helio Fred Garcia

Communication is the absolutely indispensable leadership discipline. But, too often, leaders and professional communicators get mired in tactics, and fail to influence public attitudes in the ways that would help them the most. The Power of Communication builds on the U.S. Marine Corps' legendary publication Warfighting, showing how to apply the Corps' proven leadership and strategy doctrine to all forms of public communication — and achieve truly extraordinary results. World-renowned leadership communications expert, consultant, and speaker Helio Fred Garcia reveals how to orient on audiences, recognizing their centers of gravity and most critical concerns. You'll learn how to integrate and succeed with all three levels of communication: strategic, operational, and tactical. Garcia shows how to take the initiative and control the agenda… respond to events with speed and focus… use the power of maneuver… prepare and plan… and put it all together, becoming a "habitually strategic" communicator.

  • Sales Rank: #360763 in Books
  • Published on: 2012-04-29
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.10" h x 1.10" w x 6.40" l, 1.30 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 336 pages

From the Back Cover

“Helio Fred Garcia coached me a decade ago on the fundamentals of effective communication. I probably wasn’t his best student, but I count what I learned from him as one of the most important contributions to my personal growth as an executive. The Power of Communication should be on the must-read list of any person who aspires to lead by capturing the hearts and minds of his or her stakeholders.”

--Jeffrey Bleustein, Retired Chairman and CEO, Harley-Davidson, Inc.

 

“The Power of Communication is an absolutely terrific book on how to communicate and lead in complex and shifting situations. Helio Fred Garcia has compiled a wealth of compelling examples to illustrate and support a cogent and immensely practical set of principles for leadership communication. The result is a compelling guide for leaders in business and government settings alike.”

--Amy C. Edmondson, Novartis Professor of Leadership and Management, Harvard Business School, and author of Teaming: How Organizations Learn, Innovate, and Compete in the Knowledge Economy

 

“Helio Fred Garcia is known as one of the most engaging and effective professors at NYU. Readers of this book will learn why. Only Fred could weave together tales about Abbott and Costello, the Marine Corps, and Cicero into a must-read for anyone who hopes to connect with the American public.”

--Louis Capozzi, Chairman, MSL Group (retired), and Adjunct Professor, New York University

 

“Professor Garcia’s book is great news for decision-makers, leaders, and professionals in the U.S. and any country in the world. The Power of Communication contains some very important global wisdom to save you in crisis in an omni-media age. The pity is that he can visit China only once a year, but that gives us all the more reason to celebrate the publication of this book, a very clear, concise, interesting, and powerful masterpiece.”

--Professor Steven Guanpeng Dong, Ph.D., Chair and Director, Institute of Public Relations and Strategic Communications, Tsinghua University, Beijing; Vice President, China Public Relations Association; former Shorenstein Fellow on the Press, Politics, and Public Policy, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University

 

“The Power of Communication is story after story, insight after insight, lesson after lesson, inspiration after inspiration. Just when you think it’s impossible to find another important illustration of a crucial communication or leadership principle, Fred gives you another chapter of powerful, sensible, often surprising and charming stories and lessons. Believe me, he is a persuasive orator in person and, as you’ll read, on paper. Looking to build your powers of communication, to inspire trust and confidence, and to lead effectively? You hold in your hand the key ingredient to a happier, more successful, and influential professional life. Start reading.”

--James E. Lukaszewski, ABC, APR, Fellow PRSA, President, The Lukaszewski Group Division, Risdall Public Relations

 

Communication is the absolutely indispensable leadership discipline. But too often leaders and professional communicators get mired in tactics and fail to influence public attitudes in the ways that would help them most. The Power of Communication is the solution. World-renowned leadership communication expert Helio Fred Garcia builds on the U.S. Marine Corps’ legendary publication Warfighting, showing how to apply the Corps’ proven leadership and strategy doctrine in all forms of public communication--and achieve truly extraordinary results.

 

Garcia demonstrates how to orient on audiences, recognize their most critical concerns, and successfully communicate on three levels: strategic, operational, and tactical. You’ll learn how to take the initiative and control the agenda...respond to events with speed and focus...use the power of maneuver...prepare and plan...and put it all together, becoming a “habitually strategic” communicator.


Communication has power, but, as with any powerful tool, it needs to be used effectively or it can cause significant self-inflicted harm. You’ll learn specific, indispensable lessons of leaders communicating effectively, including Apple’s Steve Jobs and the McDonald’s board, as well as from catastrophic mistakes of business and political leaders who got it wrong, from BP’s Tony Hayward to the HP board to FEMA.

 

If you need to win hearts and minds, you need The Power of Communication--and you need it now.

 

  • Words matter: taking language seriously as a leadership discipline
    Adapt language to changing circumstances and to the reactions they generate
  • Words aren’t enough
    Learn how what a leader says sets expectations, but what a leader does determines whether trust rises or falls
  • Take your audience seriously
    Connect with your audiences as living, breathing entities
  • Speed, focus, and capturing the first mover advantage
    Define your situation, motives, and actions--before someone else does
  • Saying it isn’t enough
    Master the bearing, physicality, and stagecraft of successful public leadership
  • Audiences, attention, and retention
    Learn how hearts and minds work--and get them to work together for you

 

 

 

About the Author
For more than 30 years Helio Fred Garcia has helped leaders build trust, inspire loyalty, and lead effectively. He is a coach, counselor, teacher, writer, and speaker whose clients include some of the largest and best-known companies and organizations in the world.


Fred is President of the crisis management firm Logos Consulting Group and Executive Director of the Logos Institute for Crisis Management & Executive Leadership. He is based in New York and has worked with clients in dozens of countries on six continents.

Fred has been on the New York University faculty since 1988 and has received his school’s awards for teaching excellence and for outstanding service. He is an adjunct professor of management in NYU’s Stern School of Business Executive MBA program and an adjunct associate professor of management and communication in NYU’s Master’s in PR/Corporate Communication program. Fred is also on the adjunct faculty of the Starr King School for the Ministry-Graduate Theological Union in Berkeley, where he teaches a seminar on religious leadership for social change. And he is on the leadership faculty of the Center for Security Studies of the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich, where he teaches in the Master’s in Advanced Studies in Crisis Management and Security Policy. He is a frequent guest lecturer at the Wharton School/University of Pennsylvania, the U.S. Marine Corps Command and Staff College and Officer Candidate School, the Brookings Institution, Tsinghua University in Beijing, and other institutions.

Fred is coauthor (with John Doorley) of Reputation Management: The Key to Successful Public Relations and Corporate Communication (second edition 2011; first edition 2007), by Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group. His two-volume book Crisis Communications was published by AAAA Publications in 1999. He blogs at www.logosinstitute.net/blog; he tweets at twitter.com/garciahf.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
This is THE book on crisis communication
By Charlotte A. Hu
In a graduate strategic communication program, I was required to read 3 books which were NOT this one. However, my saving grace is that I had the pleasure of seeing Helio Fred Garcia speak, so I was armed with his anti-naval-gazing philosophy. Understanding immediately that everything I was studying violated Mr. Garcia's chief principal of crisis communication which is to avoid the traps of "What should we do?" and "What should we say?" To avoid the natural inclination of focusing on the outcome of your agency, organization, corporation and focus on the problem that is impacting your customers or constituency. As such, I bought Mr. Garcia's book and read it along with the required texts and quoted liberally from it for my responses in class.
I scored well in the course; my peers responded positively and during the final survey, I urged the professors and academic leadership to consider adding this textbook to their required reading material. This is really THE book on crisis comm. If you read nothing else, this is the only book that matters with regard to crisis communication for any organization.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Great book for pastors/preachers
By Joshua Reich
Every Tuesday morning, I review a book that I read recently. If you missed any, you can read past reviews here. This week's book is The Power of Communication: The Skills to Build Trust, Inspire Loyalty, and Lead Effectively (kindle version) by Helio Fred Garcia, a consultant and professor at New York University.

When it comes to books that apply to preaching, this was one of the more fascinating ones. While not a book geared towards preachers, the applications from this book are incredibly clear.

Garcia takes principles from the U.S. Marine Corps' legendary publication Warfighting, showing how to apply the Corps' proven leadership and strategy doctrine to all forms of public communication -- and achieve truly extraordinary results. What follows in the book are incredibly insights for preachers.

What I most appreciated about the book was the idea how communication (or preaching) is about persuasion, changing ideas, changing someone, world views and moving people in a certain direction. Garcia said, "The only reason to engage an audience is to change something, to provoke a reaction. Effective communication provokes the desired reaction; ineffective communication doesn't." I think too many pastors don't preach to see change, to see someone change direction in life, change their thinking, they just preach to get information across. That's not the goal of the gospel. The goal is changing someone. That's The power of communication.

How does that happen? Garcia gives 3 things:

1. Logos: reasoning, logical argument, empirical evidence, rational explanation, and facts.
2. Ethos: an element of personal character, identity, or personal attributes; the characteristic spirit and prevalent tone or sentiment of a person, people, or community.
3. Pathos: emotion, passion, and especially triggering an emotional reaction from and connection with the audience.

Here are some things that jumped to me as a pastor:

-Communication is an act of will directed toward a living entity that reacts.
-Effective communication is intentional. It is goal-oriented. It is strategic.
-Words matter. Words shape worldviews. Words provoke action and reaction, which in turn provoke more words. Getting the words right is critically important. Getting the action right is also critically important. And aligning the words and actions is even more important.
-Communication isn't about telling our story. That's undisciplined, self-indulgent, and often illusory. The power of communication is getting audiences to listen--and to care.
-The only reason to communicate is to change something--to provoke a reaction.
-Audiences don't care about what companies (churches) care about. And that an effective leader knows how to connect with an audience on the things the audience cares about.
-Effective communication can help accomplish any particular purpose better, and faster, and with fewer resources. But however effective, it must be paired with action that is consistent with what is said.
-Whoever is first to define the crisis, the motives, and the next steps typically wins.
-Shaping the communication agenda requires considering more than what we may be minimally required to say, but rather identifying what we optimally should say in order to maintain trust, confidence, and loyalty.
-The most successful senior managers tended also to be the most compelling communicators.
-An audience's first impression is visual.
-A speaker captures or loses the audience's attention in the first 15 seconds.
-We connect with others by feeling, not by thinking.
-Leaders who appeal to self-interest alone will often fail to move their audiences. But leaders who appeal to identity--to being part of a team, a cause, an event, a mission--can move people to put aside their self-interest.
-People tend to remember the first thing they hear, but not what follows immediately thereafter.
-People tend to remember the last thing they hear.

If you are a communicator or a leader, this is a book worth checking out.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Communication is just another way to manage business
By German R. Monroy Chávez
This book emphasizes the idea of Communication as a mean to achieve a goal. People sometimes speak to audiences, forgetting to do their homework of defining how to obtain the desired reaction. Communication is a powerful weapon if it is managed in a good way, if not, a minimal mistake or detail can derail your way to success. I think the major contribution of the book is the management of this skill from an strategical view. When you start reading you can find a lot of examples of how some people had problems because the way they communicated was not the desired one. On the other hand, you can check how a well managed communication, depending on the circumstances, can help you to solve problems. The book includes principles and skills to be developed in order to enhance the way you communicate. These principles, derived from the way the marines manage their warfighting conduct, helps you, not only in communications but in other administrative areas. Very good book.

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Senin, 12 April 2010

[I436.Ebook] Download The Logic of Failure: Why Things Go Wrong and What We Can Do to Make Them Right, by Dietrich Dorner

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The Logic of Failure: Why Things Go Wrong and What We Can Do to Make Them Right, by Dietrich Dorner

An explanation of why and how, with our high intelligence and vast knowledge, humans continue to make catastrophic mistakes is accompanied by a concise handbook on how to "go right."

  • Sales Rank: #1358415 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Henry Holt n Co
  • Published on: 1996-06
  • Ingredients: Example Ingredients
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.25" h x 6.25" w x .75" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 222 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

From Publishers Weekly
The Chernobyl atomic-plant explosion, observes Dorner, was entirely due to human error involving the breaking of safety rules by a team of experts who reinforced one another's puffed-up sense of competence. This German psychology professor believes people court failure through sloppy or ingrained mental habits, whether the mistakes involve cleaning dead fish out of a garden pool, adding rooms to a schoolhouse, launching economic development programs in Africa or forecasting oil prices or the scope of the AIDS epidemic. Things go wrong, according to Dorner, because we focus on just one element in a system complicated by interrelationships; we apply corrective measures too aggressively or too timidly; we ignore basic premises, overgeneralize, follow blind alleys, overlook potential side effects and narrowly extrapolate from the moment, basing our predictions of the future on those aspects of the present that bother or delight us the most. This ingenious manual will assist problem-solvers in all fields.
Copyright 1996 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From Library Journal
Things going wrong is an all-too-common modern management experience. Pressed for time, an administrator makes a hasty decision that remedies the problem but creates myriad new problems for someone else. Dorner (psychology, Univ. of Baumberg, Germany), an authority on cognitive behavior, questions whether or not our habits of thought measure up to the systemic demands of profound problems such as environmental degradation, nuclear weapons build-up, terrorism, and overpopulation. Using computer-simulated "real world" scenarios, he measured his test subjects's problem-solving performances over time, and, not surprisingly, discovered that people court failure in predictable patterns?from simple confusion and misperception to short attention spans and unwillingness to change tactics. All is not lost, however, for Dorner suggests that despite the repeated failure, we can learn to recognize defective management behaviors and correct them. Dorner's "only the facts" approach is refreshing; he offers clear arguments, convincing evidence, and well-reasoned conclusions. One of the best management titles of the year, this is a necessary addition to both psychology and management collections of all types.?David R. Johnson, Fayetteville P.L., Ark.
Copyright 1996 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From Kirkus Reviews
A challenging, though preliminary, look at the difficulties of decision making, exploring how and why bad decisions are made. From G”del's incompleteness theorem to chaos and quantum theory, much of 20th-century thought has focused on underscoring the inextricable complexities of the universe and, thus, the inevitable inadequacies of knowledge. Now D”rner (Psychology/Univ. of Bamberg). a winner of Germany's highest science prize, the Leibnitz Award, makes his own contribution to the study of complexity by demonstrating just how difficult and problematic decision making can be. Happily, his methodology is both elegant and revealing. He has constructed a series of computer simulations in which the test subject might take on the role of mayor of a small town or district commissioner in charge of an arid region in Africa. Carte blanche is given to the subject struggling to deal with problems arising from such matters as population, resources, unemployment, and crop yields. Some people fail spectacularly, and some do a pretty good job, and the reasons are nearly always the same and surprisingly simple, at least in the abstract: ``What matters is not, I think, development of exotic mental capabilities . . . There is only one thing that does in fact matter, and that is the development of our common sense.'' D”rner adds that we must also learn to think in terms of time (both forwards and backwards) and the complex interrelationships within systems. Of course, models are always suspect because they tend to be reductive. But if D”rner is right, the implications here are substantial, for he has created a basic blueprint for testing decision making skills and a broad model for improving them. The corporate types who quest perpetually after the latest management techniques will almost certainly seize upon D”rner's work. But this is not so much a ``how-to'' guide as a provocative and important road map for years of future scientific experiment and investigation. (88 b&w illustrations) -- Copyright ©1996, Kirkus Associates, LP. All rights reserved.

Most helpful customer reviews

39 of 39 people found the following review helpful.
"On S'engage Et Puis On Voit!"
By Robert I. Hedges
Napoleon said "On s'engage et puis on voit!" Loosely translated that means "One jumps into the fray, then figures out what to do next," a common human approach to planning. This discussion (page 161) takes on the adaptability of thought and cautions decision makers about the risks of overplanning in a dynamic, multivariate system. Using examples from Napoleon as well as more concrete examples such as the quotation about soccer strategy (also on page 161,) Dietrich Dörner, the brilliant German behavioral psychologist (University of Bamberg) has created a masterwork on decision making skills in complex systems; I find it to be highly complimentary to Perrow's work and also highly recommend his equally brilliant "Normal Accidents."

A strength of this work is that Dörner takes examples from so many areas including his own computer simulations which show the near-universal applicability of his concepts. One of Dörner's main themes is the failure to think in temporal configurations (page 198): in other words, humans are good at dealing with problems they currently have, but avoid dealing with and tend to ignore problems they don't have (page 189): potential outcomes of decisions are not foreseen, sometimes with tragic consequences. In one computer simulation (page 18) Dörner had a group of hypereducated academics attempt to manage farmland in Africa: they failed miserably. In this experiment Dörner made observations about the decision makers which revealed that they had: "acted without prior analysis of the situation; failed to anticipate side effects and long-term repercussions; assumed the absence of immediately negative effects meant that correct measures had been taken; and let overinvolvement in 'projects' blind them to emerging needs and changes in the situation." (How many governmental bodies the world over does this remind you of?)

I am a safety professional, and am especially interested in time-critical decision making skills. Dörner's treatment of the Chernobyl accident is the most insightful summation I have seen. He makes the point that the entire accident was due to human failings, and points out the lack of risk analysis (and managerial pressure) and fundamental lack of appreciation for the reactivity instability at low power levels (and more importantly how operators grossly underestimated the danger that changes in production levels made, page 30.) Dörner's grasp here meshes the psychology and engineering disciplines (engineers like stasis; any change in reactivity increases hazards.) Another vital point Dörner makes is that the Chernobyl operators knowingly violated safety regulations, but that violations are normally positively reinforced (i.e. you normally "get away with it," page 31.) The discussion about operating techniques on pages 33 and 34 is insightful: the operators were operating the Chernobyl Four reactor intuitively and not analytically. While there is room for experiential decision making in complex systems, analysis of future potential problems is vital.

In most complex situations the nature of the problems are intransparent (page 37): not all information we would like to see is available. Dörner's explanation of the interactions between complexity, intransparence, internal dynamics (and developmental tendencies,) and incomplete (or incorrect) understanding of the system involved shows many potential pitfalls in dynamic decision making skills. One of the most important of all decision making criteria Dörner discusses is the importance of setting well defined goals. He is especially critical of negative goal setting (intention to avoid something) and has chosen a perfect illustrative quote from Georg Christoph Lichtenberg on page 50: "Whether things will be better if they are different I do not know, but that they will have to be different if they are to become better, that I do know." A bigger problem regarding goals occurs when "we don't even know that we don't understand," a situation that is alarmingly common in upper management charged with supervising technical matters (page 60.)

Fortunately Dörner does have some practical solutions to these problems, most in chapter six, "Planning." One of the basics (page 154) is the three step model in any planning decision (condition element, action element, and result element) and how they fit into large, dynamic systems. This is extremely well formulated and should be required reading for every politician and engineer. These concepts are discussed in conjunction with "reverse planning" (page 155) in which plans are contrived backwards from the goal. I have always found this a very useful method of planning or design, but Dörner finds that is rare. Dörner argues that in extremely complex systems (Apollo 13 is a perfect example) that intermediate goals are sometimes required as decision trees are enormous. This sometimes relies on history and analogies (what has happened in similar situations before) but it may be required to stabilize a situation to enable further critical actions. This leads back to the quote that titles this review: 'adaptability of thought' (my term) is vital to actions taken in extremely complex situations. Rigid operating procedures and historical problems may not always work: a full understanding of the choices being made is vital, although no one person is likely to have this understanding; for this reason Dörner recommends there be a "redundancy of potential command" (page 161) which is to say a group of highly trained leaders able to carry out leadership tasks within their areas of specialty (again, NASA during Apollo 13) reportable in a clear leadership structure which values their input. Dörner then points out that nonexperts may hold key answers (page 168); though notes that experts should be in charge as they best understand the thought processes applicable in a given scenario (pages 190-193.) This ultimately argues for more oversight by technicians and less by politicians: I believe (and I am guessing Dörner would concur) that we need more inter- and intra-industry safety monitoring, and fewer congressional investigations and grandstanding.

This is a superb book; I recommend it highly to any safety professional as mandatory reading, and to the general public for an interesting discussion of decision making skills.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Complex Systems – Recognizing Them and Meeting Their Challenges
By The F7 Pawn
Herr Dorner gives us an important book that provides insights into human shortcomings in recognizing and dealing with complex situations. It’s not that we’re not smart, but our cognitive processes are in turn, petulant, impatient, and lazy. Happily, Dorner provides some assistance in meeting the challenge of complex situations; so, this volume has both theoretical and practical applications. This work has important implications for military strategists, statesmen, and public policy practitioners. Dorner warns that youth and intelligence, well-intentioned though it may be, often come up woefully short when arrayed against complex systems. He notes, contrary to Hollywood’s heroic and misleading imagery, that experience and the ability to learn from one’s mistakes, fare comparatively better. These are timely admonitions to those who would try to “turn the world in the palms of our hand,” to use Al Stewart’s apt phraseology. Despite the heavy subject matter, the writing is crisp and lucid; kudos to whomever translated it from German.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
A very relevant read
By Andrew Morgan
In this book Dr. Dorner does a fantastic job of identifying and illustrating the complexities of life interactions. What at first may seem simple rarely is so due to a significant number of often overlooked issues. I believe that what makes this book an indispensable aid in the process of decision making and leadership are the insights that Dr. Dorner draws from the many hypothetical scenarios that he creates to display the 'Logic of Failure.'
This is a must great read for all in leadership but it has relevance for everyone because life is about decision making!

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Jumat, 09 April 2010

[H825.Ebook] Ebook Download Reino, El (Spanish Edition), by Emmanuel Carrere

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Reino, El (Spanish Edition), by Emmanuel Carrere

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Reino, El (Spanish Edition), by Emmanuel Carrere

En un momento de crisis personal marcado por una compleja relacion amorosa y el abuso del alcohol, Carr�re abraza durante un tiempo la fe cristiana. Veinte anos despues, emprende una investigacion que sigue la historia de Pablo, antes perseguidor de cristianos, y de Lucas el medico macedonio, uno de los evangelistas de la nueva fe que tuvo su inicio como una pequena secta judia con mensajes rupturistas y extranos rituales. / A complex relationship and reckless alcohol consumption lead Carr�re to a period of crisis; he found refuge in Christianity. Twenty years later, he conducts a wide search on the origins of Christianity in relation to the writings of Paul, along with the gospel of Luke, one of the Evangelist of the new faith that begun with a small Jewish sect.

  • Sales Rank: #1536460 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-09-30
  • Original language: Spanish
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.60" h x 1.30" w x 5.40" l,
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 520 pages

About the Author
Emmanuel Carrere, novelist, filmmaker, journalist, and biographer, is the award-winning internationally renowned author of "The Adversary" (a "New York Times" Notable Book), "Lives Other Than My Own", "My Life As A Russian Novel", "Class Trip", and "The Mustache". Carrere lives in Paris.

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10 of 13 people found the following review helpful.
Algo bueno, algo malo, algo feo
By Antonio Vives
El libro pretende ser un estudio de los comienzos del cristianismo; el autor reescribe con sus propias palabras y seg�n su interpretaci�n, algunos de los evangelios, los Actos de los Ap�stoles y las cartas de San Pablo. Pero lo hace selectivamente, resaltando lo que le gusta y denigrando de lo que no. Obviamente de modo arbitrario. Es la reflexi�n personal de un individuo que pas� de agn�stico a fiel creyente y de nuevo a agn�stico. En este proceso ha reflexionado sobre los or�genes del cristianismo. Por estos motivos, el libro no es para nada un an�lisis cr�tico del cristianismo, pero el leerlo estimula a buscar la verdad estudiando otros libros m�s serios y releyendo el nuevo testamento.

El libro contiene cosas buenas, malas y feas.

De bueno: Es un libro interesante y con sus cr�ticas al cristianismo nos hace reflexionar. El autor ha estudiado en detalle el nuevo testamento, ha pensado a fondo sobre el per�odo y la interpretaci�n de los evangelios, aunque cuando parece que lo ha hecho solo, sin debate con otras personas o expertos, como hablando consigo mismo. Nos muestra que nuestro cristianismo es “Paulino”, en contraste con la posici�n tradicional de la Iglesia que nos presenta el cristianismo como un bloque monol�tico, donde todos estaban de acuerdo y proveniente de las ense�anzas de Jes�s. Es Pablo el que cre� el cristianismo a su medida.

El libro ha recibido premios (Lire, Le Point, Le Monde). Pero, �por qu� los ha recibido? No lo s�. Pero al leerlo he constado que el autor especula sin pruebas. Es libro est� bien escrito, mantiene el inter�s, se lee bien, pero es malo como historia, es malo como memoria personal, malo como novela.

De feo tiene mucho. Solo algunos ejemplos. El escritor usa palabras groseras donde no es necesario. Dice que la Virgen Maria a lo mejor disfrutaba del sexo, que a lo mejor comet�a actos impuros. �A qu� viene esta especulaci�n? �Qu� tiene esto que ver con los or�genes del cristianismo o con la verdad hist�rica del nuevo testamento? Si quiere explicar que la Virgen Mar�a era una persona normal, hay muchas otras maneras de decirlo sin ser tan grosero………. y ofensivo. �Se puede tomar el libro en serio despu�s de leer esto?

Para explicar c�mo hace para distinguir lo que considera verdadero en los evangelios de lo que considera fantas�a el autor utiliza una descripci�n detallada de un video pornogr�fico que le gusta mucho mirar donde le parece que el placer es fingido en contraste con lo que sucede en la realidad. Carrere es capaz de percibir esta diferencia y de all� que es capaz de percibir la diferencia entre lo real y lo ficticio los evangelios (�!). Podr�a haber usado mejores maneras de explicar su arbitrariedad para calificar partes de los evangelios como fantas�a, como invento de sus autores. Poco serio.

Dedica cap�tulos a describir su b�squeda de una babysitter en Paris y a describir el proceso que sigui� para escribir un libro sobre la vida de Philip K. Dick, un drogadicto estadounidense que escrib�a fantas�as y ciencia �Qu� tiene que ver todo esto con los or�genes del cristianismo?

Y de malo tambi�n tiene mucho. El autor le toma el pelo a sus lectores. Debe pensar que todos somos ingenuos, que no tenemos esp�ritu cr�tico. Especulaci�n tras especulaci�n. Dice: “……..Yo pienso que Lucas debi� haber pensado que …..” “Me imagino que Lucas habr�a preferido escribir ….. pero pensando que no deb�a de hacerlo ha escrito ….…” Parece que sabe lo que pensaba o deb�as pensar Lucas. Comienza sus argumentos diciendo “Podr�a ser que ………pero aunque no lo puedo probar es posible….”, para despu�s afirmar “Como demostramos anteriormente…” y a partir de ese momento su especulaci�n se convierte en un hecho. Carrere usa el mismo argumento, primero especula y despu�s lo da como un hecho probado, porque es lo que piensa, sin haber demostrado nada. El autor afirma sobre Lucas “….Y si alguna cosa no le gusta, lo cambia sin pens�rselo dos veces” �C�mo sabe lo que le gusta o no le gusta a Lucas? �C�mo sabe Carrere lo que es verdad o lo que es invento? �Someti�ndolo a la prueba de la veracidad del video pornogr�fico? No es serio.

�Recomiendo el libro? Si, los estimular� a querer saber m�s. Pero hay que leerlo con esp�ritu cr�tico, como si se leyese la opini�n personal de alguien, opini�n frecuentemente fantasiosa y no como si el libro contuviera la �ltima palabra. Si quieren saber m�s sobre los or�genes del cristianismo hay que buscar en otra parte (en ingl�s recomiendo libros como “Paul and Jesus: How the Apostle Transformed Christianity” y “Paul: Follower of Jesus or Founder of Christianity?, no conozco libros en espa�ol sobre este tema, pero a lo mejor los podr�is encontrar algunos en el sitio de Amazon o en la librer�a).

Espero que su publicaci�n en espa�ol de lugar a an�lisis cr�ticos m�s a fondo, aunque dado lo especulativo y desordenado no estoy seguro que lo merezca. Lo prestigiar�an.

2 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Disappointing, could have been a great book.
By Gerardo Bruno Lopez
To really enjoy this book you have to be a serious studious of the Bible or a personal friend of the author. Some references and situations described by Emmanuel Carrere are very detailed and his assumptions are based on his believes, not necessarily on documented facts. As for the introduction is way too long and is more related to his personal life and experiences. More than once he gets lost in personal issues that are not relevant to the main topic. I flipped many pages so I could finish the book and go on to my next read.

1 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Extraordinario, apasionado, honesto.
By LuisMariano
Un texto extraordinario, escrito con un ritmo y una pasi�n �nicos, adentr�ndose en los primeros a�os del cristianismo con enorme valent�a, creatividad y rigor. Adentr�ndose tambi�n en la propi vida del autor, de modo paralelo. Honesto, espl�ndidamente escrito. Un torrente de im�genes, emociones y preguntas afiladas. Es novela, cr�nica, autobiograf�a y m�s. Una estupenda provocaci�n.

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Kamis, 01 April 2010

[S507.Ebook] PDF Download 1,000 Essential Songs from the 1970s, by Steve Crawford

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1,000 Essential Songs from the 1970s, by Steve Crawford

1,000 Essential Songs from the 1970s, by Steve Crawford



1,000 Essential Songs from the 1970s, by Steve Crawford

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1,000 Essential Songs from the 1970s, by Steve Crawford

While the music of the 1970s is often viewed through a narrow lens, the a decade was one in which established superstars thrived, the world of Top 40 music was reshaped by funk and disco, and punk, electronic, and new wave altered the sonic landscape of the popular song. The decade's music continues to resonate, not only through its influence on current artists, but in its extensive sampling in rap music, and its frequent use in films, television, and advertisements. 1,000 Essential Songs from the 1970s is a broad view of the most popular, important, and best music of the decade, capturing trends such as Philly Soul, the singer songwriter movement, and the U.K. punk scene. Author Steve Crawford provides historical data, humor, insights, and critical analysis on this travelogue through a decade that can feel both like yesterday to those of us who lived through it and an altogether entirely different world.

  • Sales Rank: #3202941 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-03-19
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 10.00" h x .65" w x 7.00" l, 1.12 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 288 pages

About the Author
Steve Crawford has a postgraduate degree in military history from the University of York. A former employee of the British intelligence services, he has worked on numerous foreign assignments. Now a freelance writer, he has written several books on elite units, such as The SAS at Close Quarters and SAS Gulf Warriors. He continues to research this particular field of military affairs and currently lives in London.

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4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Such a Fun and Fascinating Escape Back in Time
By Backstage Blogs
Once again Mr Crawford has brought his almost unequalled music knowledge to the page with a list that is interesting, informative and always entertaining.

I am truly much more a child of the 80s, but most of these were recognizable to me to some extent. You most certainly will find a need to listen to any number of these as you go through, some for the first time, some for the thousandth time and many with new ears after reading Steve's commentary.

The beauty of writing this in retrospect is that time has proven a great number of these artists have had a much more profound effect than anyone would have guessed in 1979. Some have aged like fine wine, others will be more appreciated by more mature ears. The prologue alone will make you give more thought to just how expansive the 70s music range was, and how unique this is in the history of popular music.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Highly recommended!
By Neat Freak
Even if you lived through the 70s, it's easy to forget how many great songs (and genres!) came out of that time. This book covers the ones that matter, and then some (including many great songs that are not repeated over and over on classic rock radio). I'll probably buy a couple of copies to give to my nieces and nephews for Christmas. They grew up listening to this music, and love it, but don't know as much about it as I'm sure they would like. Every song listed is accompanied by interesting facts about the song and the artist, some that will even add to the knowledge base of rock know-it-alls, like yours truly. Highly recommended!

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